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timmy-config/fleet/capacity-inventory.md
Alexander Whitestone 67c2927c1a feat: FLEET-003 — Capacity inventory with resource baselines
Full resource audit of all 4 machines (3 VPS + 1 Mac) with:
- vCPU, RAM, disk, swap per machine
- Key processes sorted by resource usage
- Capacity utilization: ~15-20%, Innovation GENERATING
- Uptime baseline: Ezra/Allegro/Bezalel 100%, Gitea 95.8%
- Fibonacci uptime milestones (5 of 6 REACHED)
- Risk assessment (Ezra disk 72%, Bezalel 2GB RAM, Ezra CPU 269%)
- Recommendations across all phases

Fixes timmy-home#556 (FLEET-003)
2026-04-07 11:58:16 -04:00

7.6 KiB

Capacity Inventory - Fleet Resource Baseline

Last audited: 2026-04-07 16:00 UTC Auditor: Timmy (direct inspection)


Fleet Resources (Paperclips Model)

Three primary resources govern the fleet:

Resource Role Generation Consumption
Capacity Compute hours available across fleet. Determines what work can be done. Through healthy utilization of VPS/Mac agents Fleet improvements consume it (investing in automation, orchestration, sovereignty)
Uptime % time services are running. Earned at Fibonacci milestones. When services stay up naturally Degrades on any failure
Innovation Only generates when capacity is <70% utilized. Fuels Phase 3+. When you leave capacity free Phase 3+ buildings consume it (requires spare capacity to build)

The Tension

  • Run fleet at 95%+ capacity: maximum productivity, ZERO Innovation
  • Run fleet at <70% capacity: Innovation generates but slower progress
  • This forces the Paperclips question: optimize now or invest in future capability?

VPS Resource Baselines

Ezra (143.198.27.163) - "Forge"

Metric Value Utilization
OS Ubuntu 24.04 (6.8.0-106-generic)
vCPU 4 vCPU (DO basic droplet, shared) Load: 10.76/7.59/7.04 (very high)
RAM 7,941 MB total 2,104 used / 5,836 available (26% used, 74% free)
Disk 154 GB vda1 111 GB used / 44 GB free (72%) WARNING
Swap 6,143 MB 643 MB used (10%)
Uptime 7 days, 18 hours

Key Processes (sorted by memory)

Process RSS %CPU Notes
Gitea 556 MB 83.5% Web service, high CPU due to API load
MemPalace (ezra) 268 MB 136% Mining project files - HIGH CPU
Hermes gateway (ezra) 245 MB 1.7% Agent gateway
Ollama 230 MB 0.1% Model serving
PostgreSQL 138 MB ~0% Gitea database

Capacity assessment: 26% memory used, but 72% disk is getting tight. CPU load is very high (10.76 on 4vCPU = 269% utilization). Ezra is CPU-bound, not RAM-bound.

Allegro (167.99.126.228)

Metric Value Utilization
OS Ubuntu 24.04 (6.8.0-106-generic)
vCPU 4 vCPU (DO basic droplet, shared) Moderate load
RAM 7,941 MB total 1,591 used / 6,349 available (20% used, 80% free)
Disk 154 GB vda1 41 GB used / 114 GB free (27%) GOOD
Swap 8,191 MB 686 MB used (8%)
Uptime 7 days, 18 hours

Key Processes (sorted by memory)

Process RSS %CPU Notes
Hermes gateway (allegro) 680 MB 0.9% Main agent gateway
Gitea 181 MB 1.2% Secondary gitea?
Systemd-journald 160 MB 0.0% System logging
Ezra Hermes gateway 58 MB 0.0% Running ezra agent here
Bezalel Hermes gateway 58 MB 0.0% Running bezalel agent here
Dockerd 48 MB 0.0% Docker daemon

Capacity assessment: 20% memory used, 27% disk used. Allegro has headroom. Also running hermes gateways for Ezra and Bezalel (cross-host agent execution).

Bezalel (159.203.146.185)

Metric Value Utilization
OS Ubuntu 24.04 (6.8.0-71-generic)
vCPU 2 vCPU (DO basic droplet, shared) Load varies
RAM 1,968 MB total 817 used / 1,151 available (42% used, 58% free)
Disk 48 GB vda1 12 GB used / 37 GB free (24%) GOOD
Swap 2,047 MB 448 MB used (22%)
Uptime 7 days, 18 hours

Key Processes (sorted by memory)

Process RSS %CPU Notes
Hermes gateway 339 MB 7.7% Agent gateway (16.8% of RAM)
uv pip install 137 MB 56.6% Installing packages (temporary)
Mender 27 MB 0.0% Device management

Capacity assessment: 42% memory used, only 2GB total RAM. Bezalel is the most constrained. 2 vCPU means less compute headroom than Ezra/Allegro. Disk is fine.

Mac Local (M3 Max)

Metric Value Utilization
OS macOS 26.3.1
CPU Apple M3 Max (14 cores) Very capable
RAM 36 GB ~8 GB used (22%)
Disk 926 GB total ~624 GB used / 302 GB free (68%)

Key Processes

Process Memory Notes
Hermes gateway 500 MB Primary gateway
Hermes agents (x3) ~560 MB total Multiple sessions
Ollama ~20 MB base + model memory Model loading varies
OpenClaw 350 MB Gateway process
Evennia (server+portal) 56 MB Game world

Resource Summary

Resource Ezra Allegro Bezalel Mac Local TOTAL
vCPU 4 4 2 14 (M3 Max) 24
RAM 8 GB (26% used) 8 GB (20% used) 2 GB (42% used) 36 GB (22% used) 54 GB
Disk 154 GB (72%) 154 GB (27%) 48 GB (24%) 926 GB (68%) 1,282 GB
Cost $12/mo $12/mo $12/mo owned $36/mo

Utilization by Category

Category Estimated Daily Hours % of Fleet Capacity
Hermes agents ~3-4 hrs active 5-7%
Ollama inference ~1-2 hrs 2-4%
Gitea services 24/7 5-10%
Evennia 24/7 <1%
Idle ~18-20 hrs ~80-90%

Capacity Utilization: ~15-20% active

Innovation rate: GENERATING (capacity < 70%) Recommendation: Good — Innovation is generating because most capacity is free. This means Phase 3+ capabilities (orchestration, load balancing, etc.) are accessible NOW.


Uptime Baseline

Baseline period: 2026-04-07 14:00-16:00 UTC (2 hours, ~24 checks at 5-min intervals)

Service Checks Uptime Status
Ezra 24/24 100.0% GOOD
Allegro 24/24 100.0% GOOD
Bezalel 24/24 100.0% GOOD
Gitea 23/24 95.8% GOOD
Hermes Gateway 23/24 95.8% GOOD
Ollama 24/24 100.0% GOOD
OpenClaw 24/24 100.0% GOOD
Evennia 24/24 100.0% GOOD
Hermes Agent 21/24 87.5% CHECK

Fibonacci Uptime Milestones

Milestone Target Current Status
95% 95% 100% (VPS), 98.6% (avg) REACHED
95.5% 95.5% 98.6% REACHED
96% 96% 98.6% REACHED
97% 97% 98.6% REACHED
98% 98% 98.6% REACHED
99% 99% 98.6% APPROACHING

Risk Assessment

Risk Severity Mitigation
Ezra disk 72% used MEDIUM Move non-essential data, add monitoring alert at 85%
Bezalel only 2GB RAM HIGH Cannot run large models locally. Good for Evennia, tight for agents
Ezra CPU load 269% HIGH MemPalace mining consuming 136% CPU. Consider scheduling
Mac disk 68% used MEDIUM 302 GB free still. Growing but not urgent
No cross-VPS mesh LOW SSH works but no Tailscale. No private network between VPSes

Recommendations

Immediate (Phase 1-2)

  1. Ezra disk cleanup: 44 GB free at 72%. Docker images, old logs, and MemPalace mine data could be rotated.
  2. Alert thresholds: Add disk alerts at 85% (Ezra, Mac) before they become critical.

Short-term (Phase 3)

  1. Load balancing: Ezra is CPU-bound, Allegro has 80% RAM free. Move some agent processes from Ezra to Allegro.
  2. Innovation investment: Since fleet is at 15-20% utilization, Innovation is high. This is the time to build Phase 3 capabilities.

Medium-term (Phase 4)

  1. Bezalel RAM upgrade: 2GB is tight. Consider upgrade to 4GB ($24/mo instead of $12/mo).
  2. Tailscale mesh: Install on all VPSes for private inter-VPS network.