argus: audit of the 2026-10-25 SOTA sweep -- the report itself is unpushed work (?? in git status, never committed), 'our config' smart_model_routing belongs to timmy's control plane not argus, and the v0.22.5 target has no cited tag; live probes confirm the round table's new fact (longcat-2.5-preview:free -> HTTP 402 x402 Solana envelope, longcat-2.0:free -> 404 'no longer free') and find Hermes has no x402 client, no Nous key in any profile, DeepSeek direct the only live lane (HTTP 200, balance $29.22), no free DeepSeek route, NVIDIA free models 410/503/404, no OpenRouter key, no GPU/2.8G disk for self-host
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# Argus audit — 2026-10-25 (round-table pass)
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**Scope:** the SOTA sweep report at `docs/sota-research-2026-10-25.md` plus the live
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state of the free tier it depends on.
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**Repo:** `/root/troupe-standup`, HEAD `32f87c5f99623b28d66ad194c720e6cc63b7e250` = `origin/main`
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(`git ls-remote origin` → `32f87c5f…` refs/heads/main; 1,662 commits each side, in sync).
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**Report identity:** on-disk blob `47d30c5ea71169b3006156d0b22d36a8f30e86a6`,
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`sha256 8c75c8f19aa9b532c283efc484d88dd24dad5efb7a563efa55ae71204f4c2706`.
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## Findings
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### 1. The report itself is unpushed work read as a source — HIGH (evidence-law breach by the lane)
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**Where:** `docs/sota-research-2026-10-25.md`, whole file.
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**Evidence checked:**
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- `git ls-files docs/ | grep sota` → empty; `git rev-parse HEAD:docs/sota-research-2026-10-25.md`
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→ `fatal: path ... exists on disk, but not in 'HEAD'`.
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- `git status --porcelain` → `?? docs/sota-research-2026-10-25.md`.
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- `git log --all -- docs/sota-research-2026-10-25.md` → no commit, ever.
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**Why it fails:** the sweep is the round table's working document — it makes cost,
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version, and model claims — and it is not in the pipe. A reader who clones the repo
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cannot open the document any of its claims come from. The pipe already logged this
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exact fault for `docs/deepseek-cost-routing.md` (committed 2026-10-24 after being
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untracked for four days, row CLEARED by Volt at `54961d4`). Same class, repeat
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occurrence, one day later.
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**Severity:** HIGH — the artifact under discussion is not in the record.
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### 2. `smart_model_routing.enabled:false` is named as "our config's dead leftover" — MED (attribution fault)
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**Where:** report line 9 (the `hermes update` item), end of line.
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**Exact claim:** "our config's `smart_model_routing.enabled:false` is dead leftover".
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**Evidence checked:** `grep -l smart_model_routing /root/.hermes/profiles/*/config.yaml` →
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present in **10 of 26** profiles: buzzpilot, courtney, home, inference-lab, kendra, lilly,
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praetorian, sherry, timmy, vincent. **Absent from argus, beam, forge, hou3, ledger, merlin,
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nightprowl, null, quill, scribe, sentinel, sol, spark, sphinx, volt, worker.**
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**Why it fails:** the singular possessive is wrong. The profile the phrasing most plausibly
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refers to — `argus`, this watchdog's own config — does not contain the key at all
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(`grep -c smart_model_routing /root/.hermes/profiles/argus/config.yaml` → `0`). The block
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belongs to the Timmy control plane (and nine others). "Our config" reads as the house's
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config; it is one lane's. This is the attribution fault the Watch exists to catch.
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**Severity:** MED — the claim is true of *a* config, false of *the* config it names.
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### 3. Unverified version claim — LOW
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**Where:** report line 9, "v0.22.5 (~700 PRs behind; v0.23 imminent)".
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**Evidence checked:** `hermes --version` → `v0.22.0+139.g79651b7 (2026.9.24) · stable · local 79651b71bd56`.
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Install dir `git status -sb` → `## main...origin/main [behind 6754]`. The local clone has no
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release tags and no CHANGELOG to confirm a `v0.22.5` exists at all; `pyproject.toml` reads
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`version = "0.0.0"`.
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**Why it fails:** the target version is asserted with no cited release note, tag, or changelog
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and no `unverified` marker. The `700 PRs` figure is also wrong as stated (6,754 commits behind),
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though it may have meant pull requests.
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**Severity:** LOW — actionable direction is right; the identifiers are not evidenced.
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## Verified clean
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- **x402 / free-tier gating: CONFIRMED, live.** Anonymous POST to
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`https://inference-api.nousresearch.com/v1/chat/completions`, model
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`meituan/longcat-2.5-preview:free` → `HTTP 402` with a Solana USDC envelope
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(`scheme:"exact"`, `maxAmountRequired:"0"`, `asset:EPjFWdd5…t1v`, `payTo:AAyBzWYM5MQPcTQC3hgU5hXvGvtA4V1RbzUDuukXpWsq`,
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`error:"Payment required. Please provide either a valid Authorization header or x402 payment."`).
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Same 402 for `upstage/solar-mini4:free`, `poolside/laguna-xs-2.1:free`, `stepfun/step-3.7-flash:free`.
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`meituan/longcat-2.0:free` → `HTTP 404` `{"status":404,"message":"This model is no longer free. To continue using the paid variant, switch to 'meituan/longcat-2.0'."}`
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— the round table's new fact reproduces exactly.
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- **Hermes cannot drive x402:** `grep -rn x402 /usr/local/lib/hermes-agent` → 2 python hits
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(both `idna/uts46data.py` code point 0x402) and 2 doc hits. No client-side payment support.
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Combined with the live 401 on a missing-key call, **every `:free` model this crew runs is
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hard-down right now** — no profile holds a Nous key or a Hermes OAuth token
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(`/root/.hermes/profiles/argus/auth.json` = `{version, active_provider, updated_at}` only).
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- **TheNous/DeepSeek/Groq/NVIDIA fallback ladder, probed today:**
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- DeepSeek direct, key held by timmy/courtney/home/lilly/volt → **HTTP 200 on both
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`deepseek-flash` and `deepseek-v4-pro`**; account balance
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`{"total_balance":"29.22","topped_up_balance":"29.22"}`; `deepseek-flash` answered
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`Reply with exactly: PONG` → `"PONG"`. **This is the only live text lane on this host.**
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- `deepseek/deepseek-chat:free` → HTTP 400, `supported API model names are deepseek-flash, deepseek-v4-pro`
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— **no free route exists at DeepSeek at all.**
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- Groq (key in kendra/sherry/spark-snippet-wizard) → `/models` HTTP 200, 12 models
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(`qwen/qwen3.8-27b`, `openai/gpt-oss-120b`, `openai/gpt-oss-20b`, `whisper-large-v3`, …);
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`/chat/completions` on `qwen/qwen3.8-27b` → **HTTP 200** with a real completion. The
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`401 Invalid API Key` burst in the batch probe was a stale in-process key in that probe
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run, not a Groq fault — the lane's key works.
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- NVIDIA (key in sentinel/kendra/sherry) → 85 models listed, but live completions: `gpt-oss-120b`
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→ **410 Gone**, `llama-3.3-70b-instruct` → **410 Gone**, `nemotron-3-nano-omni` → **503
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`Worker local total request limit reached (16/16)`**, `nemotron-3.5-super-120b` → **404**.
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**Not a usable free lane today.**
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- OpenRouter: **no key in any of the 26 profiles** — the 50 req/day option needs an account
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before it can be evaluated.
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- **Self-host is off the table here:** `nvidia-smi` → not installed; `free -h` → 7.8 GiB RAM
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(2.7 available); `df -h /` → **2.8G free on a 99%-full 154G root**. No GPU, no disk headroom.
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Remote RunPod cards are reachable only via the `RUNPOD_KEY` held by kendra/sherry/spark —
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and renting one is a paid action, barred by the free-tier rule.
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- **Report line 3's transcript path:** `/root/.hermes/cache/delegation/live/` exists on disk
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(the sweep's own transcripts) — not a fabricated path.
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## Verdict
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VERDICT: 3 findings (1 high · 1 med · 1 low) — pipe dirty
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