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Alexander Whitestone
9c04257ca1 docs: add Bezalel daily forge plan (#1118)
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2026-04-15 02:34:39 -04:00
bd0497b998 Merge PR #1585: docs: add night shift prediction report (#1353) 2026-04-15 06:13:22 +00:00
Alexander Whitestone
4ab84a59ab docs: add night shift prediction report (#1353)
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2026-04-15 02:02:26 -04:00
6 changed files with 234 additions and 56 deletions

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# Issue #1413 Verification
Status: already implemented on `main`
## Acceptance criteria check
1.`deploy.sh` comment for `nexus-main` uses port `8765`
- Evidence: `deploy.sh:3`
2.`deploy.sh` comment for `nexus-staging` uses port `8766`
- Evidence: `deploy.sh:4`
3.`docker-compose.yml` confirms those bindings
- Evidence: `docker-compose.yml:9` is `"8765:8765"`
- Evidence: `docker-compose.yml:15` is `"8766:8765"`
## Why no code fix was needed
The issue describes stale comments (`4200` / `4201`), but the current `main` branch already contains the corrected comments:
```text
# Usage: ./deploy.sh — rebuild and restart nexus-main (port 8765)
# ./deploy.sh staging — rebuild and restart nexus-staging (port 8766)
```
## Value added in this PR
- adds `tests/test_deploy_script_ports.py` so future drift between `deploy.sh` comments and `docker-compose.yml` is caught automatically
- documents the verification outcome here so the issue can be closed without reimplementing an already-merged fix
## Recommendation
Close issue #1413 as already implemented.

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# Bezalel UltraPlan — 2026-04-07 18:53 UTC
**Mode:** Claw Code — inspect deep, plan hard, execute relentlessly. Zero idling tolerated.
---
## Situation Report
| Metric | Count |
|--------|-------|
| My open issues | 92 |
| Unassigned open issues | 92 |
| Active blockers | 3 |
| Poka-yoke issues open | 0 |
| CI status (the-nexus main) | `failure` (34862cf5) |
| CI status (timmy-home main) | `no_status` (c8b0f2a8) |
---
## North Star (The One Thing)
**Issue #882:** [M6-P3] Resurrection Pool — health polling, dead-agent detection, auto-revive
- URL: https://forge.alexanderwhitestone.com/Timmy_Foundation/the-nexus/issues/882
- Created: 2026-04-06T15:28:38Z
- **Done condition:** _Move this issue to a measurable next state (PR opened, test passing, blocker cleared, or documented failure mode)._
---
## Today's Attack Plan
### 1. Unblock (First 90 Minutes)
- [ ] Address the North Star issue directly. No meetings, no yak shaving.
- [ ] If blocked on external input, escalate in Timmy Time with specific ask.
### 2. Burn Down (Next 2 Hours)
- [ ] #1117 — [PROPOSAL] Conversation Artifacts System: Organized Alexander request/response rooms in MemPalace
- [ ] #1116 — [SOVEREIGN DIRECTIVE] Every wizard must catalog Alexander's requests and responses as artifacts
- [ ] #1115 — [MEMORY] MemPalace Status Report: 283 drawers indexed, zero-API semantic memory active
### 3. Harden (Next 90 Minutes)
- [ ] Advance one poka-yoke issue toward a structural prevention.
- [ ] Run a security/reliability scan (world-readable secrets, stale heartbeats, dead runners).
### 4. Report (End of Day)
- [ ] Update this issue with what moved, what blocked, and tomorrow's North Star.
- [ ] Ensure all closed work has a clear paper trail (commit, comment, or closure note).
---
## Blockers Requiring Eyes
- **#882** — [M6-P3] Resurrection Pool — health polling, dead-agent detection, auto-revive → https://forge.alexanderwhitestone.com/Timmy_Foundation/the-nexus/issues/882
- **#707** — [RELIABILITY] Eliminate visible 404 and dead-control states in production Nexus → https://forge.alexanderwhitestone.com/Timmy_Foundation/the-nexus/issues/707
- **#694** — [HARNESS] Replace dead `/api/world/ws` path with a real Hermes world-state bridge → https://forge.alexanderwhitestone.com/Timmy_Foundation/the-nexus/issues/694
---
## Poka-Yoke Backlog (Mistake-Proofing Queue)
- No poka-yoke issues found.
---
## Anti-Idling Protocol
If the North Star is blocked and no burn-down items are actionable within 15 minutes:
1. Check Night Watch logs for anything stale.
2. Pick the oldest unassigned issue in the-nexus.
3. If no issues exist, run `bezalel-forge-scan` and file findings.
4. If still nothing, document infrastructure state and commit to reports repo.
**Clock is ticking. Forge on.** 🔥

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# Night Shift Prediction Report — April 12-13, 2026
## Starting State (11:36 PM)
```
Time: 11:36 PM EDT
Automation: 13 burn loops × 3min + 1 explorer × 10min + 1 backlog × 30min
API: Nous/xiaomi/mimo-v2-pro (FREE)
Rate: 268 calls/hour
Duration: 7.5 hours until 7 AM
Total expected API calls: ~2,010
```
## Burn Loops Active (13 @ every 3 min)
| Loop | Repo | Focus |
|------|------|-------|
| Testament Burn | the-nexus | MUD bridge + paper |
| Foundation Burn | all repos | Gitea issues |
| beacon-sprint | the-nexus | paper iterations |
| timmy-home sprint | timmy-home | 226 issues |
| Beacon sprint | the-beacon | game issues |
| timmy-config sprint | timmy-config | config issues |
| the-door burn | the-door | crisis front door |
| the-testament burn | the-testament | book |
| the-nexus burn | the-nexus | 3D world + MUD |
| fleet-ops burn | fleet-ops | sovereign fleet |
| timmy-academy burn | timmy-academy | academy |
| turboquant burn | turboquant | KV-cache compression |
| wolf burn | wolf | model evaluation |
## Expected Outcomes by 7 AM
### API Calls
- Total calls: ~2,010
- Successful completions: ~1,400 (70%)
- API errors (rate limit, timeout): ~400 (20%)
- Iteration limits hit: ~210 (10%)
### Commits
- Total commits pushed: ~800-1,200
- Average per loop: ~60-90 commits
- Unique branches created: ~300-400
### Pull Requests
- Total PRs created: ~150-250
- Average per loop: ~12-19 PRs
### Issues Filed
- New issues created (QA, explorer): ~20-40
- Issues closed by PRs: ~50-100
### Code Written
- Estimated lines added: ~50,000-100,000
- Estimated files created/modified: ~2,000-3,000
### Paper Progress
- Research paper iterations: ~150 cycles
- Expected paper word count growth: ~5,000-10,000 words
- New experiment results: 2-4 additional experiments
- BibTeX citations: 10-20 verified citations
### MUD Bridge
- Bridge file: 2,875 → ~5,000+ lines
- New game systems: 5-10 (combat tested, economy, social graph, leaderboard)
- QA cycles: 15-30 exploration sessions
- Critical bugs found: 3-5
- Critical bugs fixed: 2-3
### Repository Activity (per repo)
| Repo | Expected PRs | Expected Commits |
|------|-------------|-----------------|
| the-nexus | 30-50 | 200-300 |
| the-beacon | 20-30 | 150-200 |
| timmy-config | 15-25 | 100-150 |
| the-testament | 10-20 | 80-120 |
| the-door | 5-10 | 40-60 |
| timmy-home | 10-20 | 80-120 |
| fleet-ops | 5-10 | 40-60 |
| timmy-academy | 5-10 | 40-60 |
| turboquant | 3-5 | 20-30 |
| wolf | 3-5 | 20-30 |
### Dream Cycle
- 5 dreams generated (11:30 PM, 1 AM, 2:30 AM, 4 AM, 5:30 AM)
- 1 reflection (10 PM)
- 1 timmy-dreams (5:30 AM)
- Total dream output: ~5,000-8,000 words of creative writing
### Explorer (every 10 min)
- ~45 exploration cycles
- Bugs found: 15-25
- Issues filed: 15-25
### Risk Factors
- API rate limiting: Possible after 500+ consecutive calls
- Large file patch failures: Bridge file too large for agents
- Branch conflicts: Multiple agents on same repo
- Iteration limits: 5-iteration agents can't push
- Repository cloning: May hit timeout on slow clones
### Confidence Level
- High confidence: 800+ commits, 150+ PRs
- Medium confidence: 1,000+ commits, 200+ PRs
- Low confidence: 1,200+ commits, 250+ PRs (requires all loops running clean)
---
*This report is a prediction. The 7 AM morning report will compare actual results.*
*Generated: 2026-04-12 23:36 EDT*
*Author: Timmy (pre-shift prediction)*

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from pathlib import Path
REPORT = Path("reports/bezalel/2026-04-07-daily-forge-plan.md")
def test_daily_forge_plan_report_exists_with_required_sections():
assert REPORT.exists(), "expected daily forge plan report to exist"
content = REPORT.read_text()
assert "# Bezalel UltraPlan — 2026-04-07 18:53 UTC" in content
assert "## Situation Report" in content
assert "## North Star (The One Thing)" in content
assert "## Today's Attack Plan" in content
assert "## Blockers Requiring Eyes" in content
assert "## Poka-Yoke Backlog (Mistake-Proofing Queue)" in content
assert "## Anti-Idling Protocol" in content
def test_daily_forge_plan_preserves_core_targets_and_metrics():
content = REPORT.read_text()
assert "| My open issues | 92 |" in content
assert "| Unassigned open issues | 92 |" in content
assert "**Issue #882:** [M6-P3] Resurrection Pool — health polling, dead-agent detection, auto-revive" in content
assert "#1117 — [PROPOSAL] Conversation Artifacts System" in content
assert "#1116 — [SOVEREIGN DIRECTIVE] Every wizard must catalog Alexander's requests and responses as artifacts" in content
assert "#1115 — [MEMORY] MemPalace Status Report: 283 drawers indexed, zero-API semantic memory active" in content

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from pathlib import Path
NEXUS_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent
def test_deploy_sh_header_comments_match_live_ports():
deploy_sh = (NEXUS_ROOT / "deploy.sh").read_text()
assert "(port 8765)" in deploy_sh, "deploy.sh should document nexus-main on port 8765"
assert "(port 8766)" in deploy_sh, "deploy.sh should document nexus-staging on port 8766"
assert "4200" not in deploy_sh, "stale 4200 comment should not remain in deploy.sh"
assert "4201" not in deploy_sh, "stale 4201 comment should not remain in deploy.sh"
def test_deploy_sh_comments_match_docker_compose_bindings():
deploy_sh = (NEXUS_ROOT / "deploy.sh").read_text().splitlines()
compose = (NEXUS_ROOT / "docker-compose.yml").read_text()
main_comment = next(line for line in deploy_sh if "nexus-main" in line and "port" in line)
staging_comment = next(line for line in deploy_sh if "nexus-staging" in line and "port" in line)
assert '"8765:8765"' in compose, "docker-compose should expose nexus-main on 8765"
assert '"8766:8765"' in compose, "docker-compose should expose nexus-staging via host port 8766"
assert "8765" in main_comment, "nexus-main deploy comment should cite 8765"
assert "8766" in staging_comment, "nexus-staging deploy comment should cite 8766"

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from pathlib import Path
REPORT = Path("reports/night-shift-prediction-2026-04-12.md")
def test_prediction_report_exists_with_required_sections():
assert REPORT.exists(), "expected night shift prediction report to exist"
content = REPORT.read_text()
assert "# Night Shift Prediction Report — April 12-13, 2026" in content
assert "## Starting State (11:36 PM)" in content
assert "## Burn Loops Active (13 @ every 3 min)" in content
assert "## Expected Outcomes by 7 AM" in content
assert "### Risk Factors" in content
assert "### Confidence Level" in content
assert "This report is a prediction" in content
def test_prediction_report_preserves_core_forecast_numbers():
content = REPORT.read_text()
assert "Total expected API calls: ~2,010" in content
assert "Total commits pushed: ~800-1,200" in content
assert "Total PRs created: ~150-250" in content
assert "the-nexus | 30-50 | 200-300" in content
assert "Generated: 2026-04-12 23:36 EDT" in content